CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-07-10T13:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-07-10T13:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17267/-1
CME Note: May be associated with a filament eruption near S30E25, faintly visible in SDO AIA 304 beginning 2021-07-10T09:21Z and in STEREO A EUVI 304 between 2021-07-10T08:15Z and 2021-07-10T10:15Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-07-14T10:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-13T18:57Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM_V3. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 375.0 km/s Upgraded EAMv3 output: u_r = 249.225 Acceleration: 2.09229 Duration in seconds: 278509.90 Duration in days: 3.2234942 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 2.09 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 831.9 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 13/07/2021 Time: 18:57 UTLead Time: 58.00 hour(s)
Difference: 15.05 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-07-12T00:00Z
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